On Wednesday, former U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi urged President Joe Biden to decide soon on whether to run, stating that “time is running short.” Following this, Polymarket bets surged to 61% in the afternoon, reflecting the odds of Biden stepping down. Currently, those odds have slightly decreased to 59%. Biden’s Drop-Out Odds Surge During […]
This weekend, following the first presidential debate of 2024, the prediction market Polymarket, powered by Polygon, saw a shift in the wager regarding whether incumbent President Joe Biden will withdraw from the race. Just two days prior, the odds of Biden stepping down were at 39%, and as of June 30, 2024, the probability has […]
Following the initial 2024 U.S. Presidential Debate, prediction market wagers on whether incumbent Joe Biden will withdraw have seen a significant increase in activity. The likelihood of Biden stepping down and being substituted has risen notably. Betting Markets React to Joe Biden’s Unintelligible Statements and Performance On Thursday, CNN broadcasted the 2024 U.S. Presidential Debate […]
In a court filing released Wednesday, the U.S. Department of Justice dropped campaign finance charges against disgraced FTX co-founder Sam Bankman-Fried. Prosecutors said the charges were dropped in accordance with U.S. treaty obligations to the Bahamas. Sam Bankman-Fried Cleared of Campaign Finance Charges Campaign finance charges against Sam Bankman-Fried, co-founder and former CEO of FTX, […]