In just 40 days, the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will gather to decide whether the central bank will lower the benchmark interest rate. This pivotal moment occurs two days after the 2024 U.S. Election Day. As it stands, CME futures data suggests that a half-point reduction is currently viewed as more probable than […]
Fedwatch Tool and Polymarket Indicate Strong Odds for September Rate Cut
Right now, the market is leaning towards the U.S. Federal Reserve lowering the benchmark interest rate at the Sept. 18, 2024, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The CME Fedwatch tool currently indicates a 75% likelihood of a 25-basis-point (bps) rate cut. Over on Polymarket, bettors are even more confident, showing an 82% chance of […]
Fedwatch Tool and Polymarket Point to Highly Probable Rate Cuts by the Fed
Following the recent volatility in global equity markets, some analysts suggest that the U.S. Federal Reserve might implement an emergency rate cut before September. In addition, market predictions are leaning toward a rate cut at the September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The key question is the extent of this cut. According to CME’s […]
Fed’s Powell Hints at Continued Elevated Rates; Fedwatch Tool Indicates Near-Certain Hike Next Month
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stressed on Thursday the U.S. central bank remains committed to bringing down inflation and will maintain restrictive monetary policy until prices cool. Speaking at the Economic Club of New York, Powell hinted that further interest rate hikes may be appropriate if price pressures persist. Powell Signals for More Monetary Tightening […]