Immediately following the assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump, prediction market odds on Polymarket saw Trump’s chances of winning the election rise to 68%. Days after the event, Trump’s odds have continued to rise with the chances of winning the 2024 general election up to 71%. Trump’s Polymarket Odds Reach 71% Days After Attempted […]
On Wednesday, former U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi urged President Joe Biden to decide soon on whether to run, stating that “time is running short.” Following this, Polymarket bets surged to 61% in the afternoon, reflecting the odds of Biden stepping down. Currently, those odds have slightly decreased to 59%. Biden’s Drop-Out Odds Surge During […]
According to metrics, the prediction market Polymarket has experienced notable volume over the past few weeks, with the firm reporting it accrued over $ 100 million in June and $ 8.2 million on the day the 2024 presidential candidates Donald Trump and Joe Biden debated on stage. The Rising Influence of the Prediction …
Donald Trump’s prospects of winning the 2024 election have risen, with the prediction market Polymarket reporting his odds at 66% as of July 2, 2024. Meanwhile, a wager worth $ 294 million indicates that incumbent President Joe Biden’s chances stand at 18%. Trump Favored Over Biden in 2024 Election According to Prediction Markets The …
This weekend, following the first presidential debate of 2024, the prediction market Polymarket, powered by Polygon, saw a shift in the wager regarding whether incumbent President Joe Biden will withdraw from the race. Just two days prior, the odds of Biden stepping down were at 39%, and as of June 30, 2024, the probability has […]