This week, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit has ruled in favor of the predictions market Kalshi, allowing the commodities exchange to offer event contracts based on the outcome of U.S. congressional elections. Circuit Judge Millett’s opinion supports the legality of the contracts, dismissing claims of gaming or election gambling. […]
According to Polymarket’s betting odds, there’s a 60% chance we’ll see another debate between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris, even though no additional debates are currently scheduled beyond the one held on Sept. 10, 2024. Bettors Place Their Bets on a Second Trump-Harris Debate Polymarket, a blockchain-driven prediction platform, has people […]
A federal judge this week sided with the prediction market Kalshi’s motion for summary judgment in its legal battle with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). This decision opens the door for U.S. citizens to place bets on the upcoming November election. However, the ruling isn’t the final word just yet, as the CFTC […]
The prediction market Polymarket and CME’s Fedwatch tool suggest that a rate cut during the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in September is highly likely. However, BCA Research’s chief asset allocation strategist, Garry Evans, argues that even if rates are lowered, it won’t stop a recession in the United States. On the flip side, […]
In a twist of political fortunes, Vice President Kamala Harris, who had been leading in the race against former President Donald Trump for the 2024 election, saw her odds dip significantly after rolling out her economic plans. Over the past 72 hours on Polymarket, her chances have taken a hit, dropping four percentage points, while […]