A federal judge this week sided with the prediction market Kalshi’s motion for summary judgment in its legal battle with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). This decision opens the door for U.S. citizens to place bets on the upcoming November election. However, the ruling isn’t the final word just yet, as the CFTC […]
Polymarket Bets 10% on 2024 US Recession, Analyst Skeptical of Rate Cut’s Impact
The prediction market Polymarket and CME’s Fedwatch tool suggest that a rate cut during the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in September is highly likely. However, BCA Research’s chief asset allocation strategist, Garry Evans, argues that even if rates are lowered, it won’t stop a recession in the United States. On the flip side, […]
Bets on Harris Slide in Predictions Market After Her Price Controls Plan Sparks Controversy
In a twist of political fortunes, Vice President Kamala Harris, who had been leading in the race against former President Donald Trump for the 2024 election, saw her odds dip significantly after rolling out her economic plans. Over the past 72 hours on Polymarket, her chances have taken a hit, dropping four percentage points, while […]
Newly Launched ETF Supercharges Microstrategy Bets: 1.75x Risk or Reward
Defiance ETFs has introduced MSTX, the first leveraged single-stock exchange-traded fund (ETF) focused on Microstrategy, offering 175% long daily exposure. This ETF targets sophisticated investors seeking amplified exposure to Microstrategy’s volatile performance. Defiance ETFs Launches Leveraged Microstrategy ETF in the U.S. The newly launched MSTX ETF provides 175% long daily targeted exposure to Microstrategy, a […]
Polymarket Bets Predict a Nail-Biter: Trump and Harris Dead Even in 2024 Race
According to prediction market Polymarket, former President Donald Trump and current Vice President Kamala Harris are now evenly matched in the 2024 election race. Initially, Trump led Harris following the announcement by President Joe Biden that he would not seek re-election in November. 2024 Election Odds: Trump and Harris Locked in Dead Heat As of […]