According to metrics, the prediction market Polymarket has experienced notable volume over the past few weeks, with the firm reporting it accrued over $ 100 million in June and $ 8.2 million on the day the 2024 presidential candidates Donald Trump and Joe Biden debated on stage. The Rising Influence of the Prediction …
Polymarket Bets Show Growing Confidence in Trump’s Election Victory Over Biden
Ten days ago, after former President Donald Trump was convicted on 34 counts connected to a hush-money scheme, Polymarket bets indicated his chances of winning the 2024 election still stood at 54%, compared to incumbent President Joe Biden’s 40%. Since that time, the gap between Trump and Biden has widened significantly, with Polymarket odds increasingly […]
Conviction Fails to Deter Donald Trump’s 2024 Election Odds, According to Polymarket Bets
Following the landmark news of former President Donald Trump’s conviction on 34 counts related to a hush-money scheme allegedly influencing the 2016 election, data from the Polygon-powered prediction market Polymarket shows Trump still leading in forecast bets for the 2024 election. Convicted But Leading: Trump Tops 2024 Election Predictions on Polymarket According to Polymarket, Donald […]
Polymarket Bets Reflect Low Confidence in Ethereum ETF Approval by SEC
According to a wager on the decentralized betting platform Polymarket, the likelihood of a spot ethereum exchange-traded fund (ETF) gaining approval from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission currently stands at just 7%. This forecast commenced in January with a 76% probability of approval but has since plummeted by 91% over the last three months. […]
Double or Nothing: Proshares Unveils BITU and SBIT ETFs for Bullish and Bearish Bitcoin Bets
On Tuesday, Proshares introduced two new offerings: the Ultra Bitcoin exchange-traded fund, sporting the ticker BITU, and the Ultrashort Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF), known as SBIT. While BITU is designed to deliver two times the daily returns of bitcoin, SBIT is structured to produce double the inverse of bitcoin’s daily returns. Proshares Introduces Leveraged and […]