On Thursday, betting activity on Polymarket indicated that former President Donald Trump has pulled ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris in the race for the 2024 election. As of press time, Trump’s odds stand at 55.8%, with Harris trailing at 43.7%. This shift in favor of Trump has been observed since around Oct. 5, approximately […]
According to Polymarket’s post on the social platform X, former President Donald Trump is nearing his largest lead since Vice President Kamala Harris joined the race. As of 12:11 p.m. EDT, Trump is in front with a 53% chance, while Harris follows closely with 46.4%. Trump Grabs Strong Lead Over Harris in Presidential Race, Polymarket […]
With the HBO documentary set to release on Wednesday, claiming to reveal the true identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, Polymarket bettors are actively speculating on who it might be. As of this writing, Len Sassaman, who previously led the wagers, has fallen behind, while Blockstream’s Adam Back now leads with a 22.5% probability of being named […]
On Sept. 2, 2024, or roughly 16 days before the next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, an overwhelming majority of the market seems to be predicting the U.S. Federal Reserve to cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points (bps) on Sept. 18. The U.S. federal funds rate is currently at 5.25%-5.50%, which […]
After a 40-day interview hiatus, Vice President Kamala Harris has finally given her first Q&A session since President Joe Biden announced he won’t seek re-election in 2024. According to Polymarket’s election betting odds, former President Donald Trump is currently edging ahead, leading by a modest 1 percentage point. At the moment, Trump holds a 50% […]