Based on Polymarket odds, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., a 2024 independent presidential candidate, has a 81% probability of exiting the race after his running mate, Nicole Shanahan, hinted that their campaign might align with former President Donald Trump. On Tuesday, the odds of Kennedy withdrawing peaked to it’s highest point yet. RFK Jr.’s Campaign Faces […]
Right now, the market is leaning towards the U.S. Federal Reserve lowering the benchmark interest rate at the Sept. 18, 2024, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The CME Fedwatch tool currently indicates a 75% likelihood of a 25-basis-point (bps) rate cut. Over on Polymarket, bettors are even more confident, showing an 82% chance of […]
Rumors about U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris possibly attending the Bitcoin 2024 conference in Nashville have garnered substantial attention. Alongside the speculation, a Polymarket bet estimates Harris’s odds of attending at roughly 8%. ‘Unburdened by What Has Been’ On July 23, David Bailey, CEO of BTC Inc., the company organizing Bitcoin 2024 in Nashville, stated […]
Former U.S. President Donald Trump experienced a surge in prediction market odds for winning the presidential election after an assassination attempt at a Pennsylvania rally. Ripple’s CEO and legal chief celebrated their firm’s landmark legal victory against the SEC, affirming that XRP is not a security. Valentina Matvienko, a Russian Senate leader, discussed the potential […]
Immediately following the assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump, prediction market odds on Polymarket saw Trump’s chances of winning the election rise to 68%. Days after the event, Trump’s odds have continued to rise with the chances of winning the 2024 general election up to 71%. Trump’s Polymarket Odds Reach 71% Days After Attempted […]